VAR models analyse and predict multivariate time series data, unlike univariate autoregressive models. These models are particularly useful in fields such as economics and weather forecasting. VAR ...
This project implements a Vector Autoregression (VAR)–based framework to derive macroeconomic scenario weights for Expected Credit Loss (ECL) estimation, inspired by Moody’s Analytics (2019).
Abstract: This paper presents macroeconomic forecasting by using a time-varying Bayesian compressed vector autoregression approach. We apply a random compression by using projection matrix to randomly ...
This study aims to build an efficient small-scale macroeconomic forecasting tool for Maldives using Bayesian vector autoregression estimations to circumvent the "curse of dimensionality" and ...
Forecasting solar irradiance is a critical task in the renewable energy sector, as it provides essential information regarding the potential energy production from solar panels. This study aims to ...